Dynamics

Models reveal potential synergies in management actions for bull kelp forest resilience and restoration featured image

Models reveal potential synergies in management actions for bull kelp forest resilience and restoration

1. Heatwaves are a growing threat to marine ecosystems. Kelps are particularly vulnerable because they require cool, nutrient-rich water to thrive. Heatwave conditions can also …

j.-wilson-white
Symbolic regression for empirically realistic population dynamic time series featured image

Symbolic regression for empirically realistic population dynamic time series

Applications of machine learning in ecology are rapidly expanding. Symbolic regression is gaining particular attention for its success in reverse-engineering human-readable …

avatar
Cheyenne Jarman
Sea urchin consumption of kelp controlled by the density of drift algae featured image

Sea urchin consumption of kelp controlled by the density of drift algae

Rocky reef kelp forests can exhibit abrupt shifts between forested and barren states where unchecked sea urchin grazing inhibits kelp recovery. Forefront to urchin barren …

avatar
Zachary Randell
In defense of Type I functional responses: The frequency and population-dynamic effects of feeding on multiple prey at a time featured image

In defense of Type I functional responses: The frequency and population-dynamic effects of feeding on multiple prey at a time

Ecologists differ in the degree to which they consider the linear Type I functional response to be an unrealistic versus sufficient representation of predator feeding rates. …

avatar
Mark Novak
Body mass–biomass scaling modulates species keystone-ness to press perturbations featured image

Body mass–biomass scaling modulates species keystone-ness to press perturbations

Identifying species with disproportionate effects on other species under press perturbations is essential, yet how species traits drive their keystone-ness and how this depends on …

xiaoxiao-li
Effects of predator novelty on intraguild predation communities with adaptive prey defense featured image

Effects of predator novelty on intraguild predation communities with adaptive prey defense

Understanding coexistence within community modules such as intraguild predation (IGP), where an omnivore both preys on and competes with an intermediate consumer for a shared …

avatar
Kurt Ingeman
Kelp-forest dynamics controlled by substrate complexity featured image

Kelp-forest dynamics controlled by substrate complexity

The factors that determine why ecosystems exhibit abrupt shifts in state are of paramount importance for management, conservation, and restoration efforts. Kelp forests are …

avatar
Zachary Randell
PressPurt - Network sensitivity to press perturbations under interaction uncertainty featured image

PressPurt - Network sensitivity to press perturbations under interaction uncertainty

While the use of networks to understand how complex systems respond to perturbations is pervasive across scientific disciplines, the uncertainty associated with estimates of …

david-koslicki
Grazer-resource behavior, interactions, and feedbacks control kelp-forest dynamics and stability featured image

Grazer-resource behavior, interactions, and feedbacks control kelp-forest dynamics and stability

How the direct and indirect effects of species interactions cascade to affect community struc- ture, functioning, and stability is a fundamental question in ecology. In temperate …

avatar
Zachary Randell
The intrinsic predictability of ecological time series and its potential to guide forecasting featured image

The intrinsic predictability of ecological time series and its potential to guide forecasting

Successfully predicting the future states of systems that are complex, stochastic, and potentially chaotic is a major challenge. Model forecasting error (FE) is the usual measure …

frank-pennekamp
Exact probabilities for the indeterminacy of complex networks as perceived through press perturbations featured image

Exact probabilities for the indeterminacy of complex networks as perceived through press perturbations

We consider the goal of predicting how complex networks respond to chronic (press) perturbations when characterizations of their network topology and interaction strengths are …

david-koslicki

Rapid and direct recoveries of predators and prey through synchronized ecosystem management

One of the twenty-first century’s greatest environmental challenges is to recover and restore species, habitats and ecosystems. The decision about how to initiate restoration is …

jameal-samhouri
Global patterns of kelp forest change over the past half-century featured image

Global patterns of kelp forest change over the past half-century

Kelp forests (Order Laminariales) form key biogenic habitats in coastal regions of temperate and Arctic seas worldwide, providing ecosystem services valued in the range of …

kira-krumhansl

Effects of predator introductions on population and community dynamics

There is increasing awareness that human activities are altering the ways that natural systems operate and that local shifts in species composition and abundance can lead to …

avatar
Kurt Ingeman

Ecosystem context and historical contingency in apex predator recoveries

Habitat loss, overexploitation, and numerous other stressors have caused global declines in apex predators. This “trophic downgrading” has generated widespread concern because of …

adrian-stier
Characterizing species interactions to understand press perturbations: What is the community matrix? featured image

Characterizing species interactions to understand press perturbations: What is the community matrix?

The community matrix is among ecology's most important mathematical abstractions, formally encapsulating the interconnected network of effects that species have on one another's …

avatar
Mark Novak
Selection on stability across ecological scales featured image

Selection on stability across ecological scales

Much of the focus in evolutionary biology has been on the adaptive differentiation among organisms. It is equally important to understand the processes that result in similarities …

jonathan-borrelli

A multi-decade time series of kelp forest community structure at San Nicolas Island, California (USA)

San Nicolas Island is surrounded by broad areas of shallow subtidal habitat, characterized by dynamic kelp forest communities that undergo dramatic and abrupt shifts in community …

mike-kenner
Predicting community responses to perturbations in the face of imperfect knowledge and network complexity featured image

Predicting community responses to perturbations in the face of imperfect knowledge and network complexity

How best to predict the effects of perturbations to ecological communities has been a long‐standing goal for both applied and basic ecology. This quest has recently been revived …

avatar
Mark Novak
Nestedness patterns and the dual nature of community reassembly in California streams: a multivariate permutation-based approach featured image

Nestedness patterns and the dual nature of community reassembly in California streams: a multivariate permutation-based approach

Many factors contribute to the nonrandom processes of extinctions and invasions that are changing the structure of ecological communities worldwide. These factors include the …

avatar
Mark Novak
Generalized modeling of ecological population dynamics featured image

Generalized modeling of ecological population dynamics

Over the past 7 years, several authors have used the approach of generalized modeling to study the dynamics of food chains and food webs. Generalized models come close to the …

justin-yeakel

Understanding and predicting ecological dynamics: are major surprises inevitable

Ecological surprises, substantial and unanticipated changes in the abundance of one or more species that result from previously unsuspected processes, are a common outcome of both …

dan-doak