Publications

White, Hopf, Pinos-Sánchez, Rasmuson, Schmid, Novak (2026). Models reveal potential synergies in management actions for bull kelp forest resilience and restoration. Journal of Applied Ecology.

Jarman, Levi, Novak (2026). Symbolic regression for empirically realistic population dynamic time series.

Novak, Foust, Hennessey, Tanis, Coblentz, Wolf, Segui, Henderson, Ingeman, Falke, Layden, Gradison, Randell, Harris, Lester, Naito, Nakata, Nichols, Postma, Alves, Jarman, Kalytiak-Davis, Martin, Pajiah, Pinos-Sánchez, Preston (2026). FracFeed: Global database of the fraction of feeding predators. Ecology.

Randell, Sheridan, Frey, Carr, Novak (2025). Sea urchin consumption of kelp controlled by the density of drift algae.

Novak (2025). Upper’s (1974) unsuccessful self-treatment of a case of “writer’s block”: Renewed attempt using chat-based large language models.

Novak, Coblentz, DeLong (2025). In defense of Type I functional responses: The frequency and population-dynamic effects of feeding on multiple prey at a time. The American Naturalist.

Coblentz, Novak, DeLong (2025). Simple, universal rules predict trophic interaction strengths. Ecology Letters.

Li, Yang, Novak, Zhao, Ruiter, Yang, Guill (2025). Body mass–biomass scaling modulates species keystone-ness to press perturbations. Ecology Letters.

Preston, Falke, Novak (2025). Age-prevalence curves in a multi-species parasite community. Functional Ecology.

Novak, Stouffer (2024). Corrigendum: Geometric complexity and the information-theoretic comparison of functional-response models. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution.

Novak (2023). High variation in handling times confers 35-year stability to predator feeding rates despite community change. Ecology.

Coblentz, Novak, DeLong (2023). Predator feeding rates may often be unsaturated under typical prey densities. Ecology Letters.

Ingeman, Novak (2022). Effects of predator novelty on intraguild predation communities with adaptive prey defense. Theoretical Ecology.

Randell, Kenner, Tomoleoni, Yee, Novak (2022). Kelp-forest dynamics controlled by substrate complexity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

Koslicki, Gibbon, Novak (2022). PressPurt - Network sensitivity to press perturbations under interaction uncertainty. F1000 Research.

Randell (2021). Grazer-resource behavior, interactions, and feedbacks control kelp-forest dynamics and stability. Oregon State University (PhD).

Dalziel, Novak, Watson, Ellner (2021). Collective behaviour can stabilize ecosystems. Nature Ecology & Evolution.

Taylor, DeJesus, Novak, Terry (2021). The effects of formalin fixation and fluid storage on stable isotopes in rodent hair. Journal of Mammalogy.

Novak, Stouffer (2021). Geometric complexity and the information-theoretic comparison of functional-response models. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution.

Rockow (2021). The predictability of qualitative food web dynamics in response to extinction and invasion. Oregon State University (Honors).

Preston, Layden, Segui, Falke, Brant, Novak (2021). Trematode parasites exceed aquatic insect biomass in Oregon stream food webs. Journal of Animal Ecology.

Novak, Stouffer (2021). Systematic bias in studies of consumer functional responses. Ecology Letters (Reviews & Synthesis).

Coblentz, Merhoff, Novak (2021). Quantifying the effects of intraspecific variation on predator feeding rates through nonlinear averaging. Functional Ecology.

Stouffer, Novak (2021). Hidden layers of density dependence in consumer feeding rates. Ecology Letters.

Hennessey (2020). The influence of prey predictability on the foraging behavior and movement of intertidal predators. Oregon State University (PhD).

Falke, Henderson, Novak, Preston (2020). Temporal shifts in intraspecific and interspecific diet variation among 3 stream predators. Freshwater Science.

Pennekamp, Iles, Garland, Brennan, Brose, Gaedke, Jacob, Kratina, Matthews, Munch, Novak, Palamara, Rall, Rosenbaum, Tabi, Ward, Williams, Ye, Petchey (2019). The intrinsic predictability of ecological time series and its potential to guide forecasting. Ecological Monographs.

Segui (2019). State-structured species interactions and their consequences across levels of biological organization. Oregon State University (PhD).

Kroeker, Carr, Raimondi, Caselle, Washburn, Palumbi, Barth, Chan, Menge, Milligan, Novak, White (2019). Planning for Change: Assessing the Potential Role of Marine Protected Areas and Fisheries Management Approaches for Resilience Management in a Changing Ocean. Oceanography.

Menge, Milligan, Caselle, Barth, Blanchette, Carr, Chan, Cowen, Denny, Gaines, Hofmann, Kroeker, Lubchenco, McManus, Novak, Palumbi, Raimondi, Somero, Warner, Washburn, White (2019). PISCO: Advances Made Through the Formation of a Large-Scale, Long-Term Consortium for Integrated Understanding of Coastal Ecosystem Dynamics. Oceanography.

Menge, Caselle, Milligan, Gravem, Gouhier, White, Barth, Blanchette, Carr, Chan, Lubchenco, McManus, Novak, Raimondi, Washburn (2019). Integrating Coastal Oceanic and Benthic Ecological Approaches for Understanding Large-Scale Meta-Ecosystem Dynamics. Oceanography.

Preston, Falke, Henderson, Novak (2019). Food-web interaction strength distributions are conserved by greater variation between than within predator--prey pairs. Ecology.

Menge, Caselle, Barth, Blanchette, Carr, Chan, Gravem, Gouhier, Lubchenco, McManus, Milligan, Novak, Raimondi, Washburn, White (2019). Community Responses to Climate-Related Variability and Disease: The Critical Importance of Long-Term Research. Oceanography.

Preston, Henderson, Falke, Segui, Layden, Novak (2018). What drives interaction strengths in complex food webs? A test with feeding rates of a generalist stream predator. Ecology.

Koslicki, Novak (2018). Exact probabilities for the indeterminacy of complex networks as perceived through press perturbations. Journal of Mathematical Biology.

Coblentz (2018). Candidate causes, consequences, and estimation of individual diet specialization. Oregon State University (PhD).

Preston, Henderson, Falke, Novak (2017). Using Survival Models to Estimate Invertebrate Prey Identification Times in a Generalist Stream Fish. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society.

Coblentz, Rosenblatt, Novak (2017). The application of Bayesian hierarchical models to quantify individual diet specialization. Ecology.

Samhouri, Stier, Hennessey, Novak, Halpern, Levin (2017). Rapid and direct recoveries of predators and prey through synchronized ecosystem management. Nature Ecology & Evolution.

Novak, Wolf, Coblentz, Shepard (2017). Quantifying predator dependence in the functional response of generalist predators. Ecology Letters.

Hughes, Beas-Luna, Barner, Brewitt, Brumbaugh, Cerny-Chipman, Close, Coblentz, Nesnera, Drobnitch, Figurski, Focht, Friedman, Freiwald, Heady, Heady, Hettinger, Johnson, Karr, Mahoney, Moritsch, Osterback, Reimer, Robinson, Rohrer, Rose, Sabal, Segui, Shen, Sullivan, Zuercher, Raimondi, Menge, Grorud-Colvert, Novak, Carr (2017). Long-Term Studies Contribute Disproportionately to Ecology and Policy. BioScience.

Witman, Smith, Novak (2017). Experimental demonstration of a trophic cascade in the Galápagos rocky subtidal: Effects of consumer identity and behavior. PLOS ONE.

Layden (2017). Contributions of parasites to energy flow through a stream food web. Oregon State University (SURE Science).

Wolf, Novak, Gitelman (2017). Bayesian characterization of uncertainty in species interaction strengths. Oecologia.

Shepard (2016). Using stable isotopes to quantify species interaction strengths. Oregon State University (Honors).

Bingham (2016). Sensitive barnacles - A case study for collaborative sustainable fishery development. Oregon State University (Honors).

Krumhansl, Okamoto, Rassweiler, Novak, Bolton, Cavanaugh, Connell, Johnson, Konar, Ling, Micheli, Norderhaug, Pérez-Matus, Sousa-Pinto, Reed, Salomon, Shears, Wernberg, Anderson, Barrett, Buschmann, Carr, Caselle, Derrien-Courtel, Edgar, Edwards, Estes, Goodwin, Kenner, Kushner, Moy, Nunn, Steneck, Vásquez, Watson, Witman, Byrnes (2016). Global patterns of kelp forest change over the past half-century. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

Ingeman (2016). Effects of predator introductions on population and community dynamics. Oregon State University (PhD).

Stier, Samhouri, Novak, Marshall, Ward, Holt, Levin (2016). Ecosystem context and historical contingency in apex predator recoveries. Science Advances.

Iles, Novak (2016). Complexity increases predictability in allometrically constrained food webs. The American Naturalist.

Saepharn (2016). Competitive mechanisms underlying the displacement of native crayfish by non-native crayfish. Oregon State University (SURE Science).

Novak, Yeakel, Noble, Doak, Emmerson, Estes, Jacob, Tinker, Wootton (2016). Characterizing species interactions to understand press perturbations: What is the community matrix?. Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics.

Terry, Novak (2015). Where does the time go?: Mixing and the depth-dependent distribution of fossil ages. Geology.

Novak, Tinker (2015). Timescales alter the inferred strength and temporal consistency of intraspecific diet specialization. Oecologia.

Borrelli, Allesina, Amarasekare, Arditi, Chase, Damuth, Holt, Logofet, Novak, Rohr, Rossberg, Spencer, Tran, Ginzburg (2015). Selection on stability across ecological scales. Trends in Ecology & Evolution.

Moulvi (2014). Complex networks in kelp forest ecosystems - Visualizing big data. Oregon State University (URSA Engage).

Beas-Luna, Novak, Carr, Tinker, Black, Caselle, Hoban, Malone, Iles (2014). An Online Database for Informing Ecological Network Models: http://kelpforest.ucsc.edu. PLoS ONE.

Novak (2013). Trophic omnivory across a productivity gradient: intraguild predation theory and the structure and strength of species interactions. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences.

Kenner, Estes, Tinker, Bodkin, Cowen, Harrold, Hatfield, Novak, Rassweiler, Reed (2013). A multi-decade time series of kelp forest community structure at San Nicolas Island, California (USA). Ecology.

Twardochleb, Novak, Moore (2012). Using the functional response of a consumer to predict biotic resistance to invasive prey. Ecological Applications.

Tinker, Guimarães, Novak, Marquitti, Bodkin, Staedler, Bentall, Estes (2012). Structure and mechanism of diet specialisation: testing models of individual variation in resource use with sea otters. Ecology Letters.

Yeakel, Guimarães, Novak, Fox-Dobbs, Koch (2012). Probabilistic patterns of interaction: the effects of link-strength variability on food web structure. Journal of the Royal Society Interface.

Bolnick, Amarasekare, Araújo, Bürger, Levine, Novak, Rudolf, Schreiber, Urban, Vasseur (2011). Why intraspecific trait variation matters in community ecology. Trends in Ecology & Evolution.

DeAngelis, Wolkowicz, Lou, Jiang, Novak, Svanbäck, Araújo, Jo, Cleary (2011). The Effect of Travel Loss on Evolutionarily Stable Distributions of Populations in Space. The American Naturalist.

Novak, Wootton, Doak, Emmerson, Estes, Tinker (2011). Predicting community responses to perturbations in the face of imperfect knowledge and network complexity. Ecology (Concepts & Synthesis).

Novak, Moore, Leidy (2011). Nestedness patterns and the dual nature of community reassembly in California streams: a multivariate permutation-based approach. Global Change Biology.

Yeakel, Novak, Guimarães, Dominy, Koch, Ward, Moore, Semmens (2011). Merging Resource Availability with Isotope Mixing Models: The Role of Neutral Interaction Assumptions. PLoS ONE.

Yeakel, Stiefs, Novak, Gross (2011). Generalized modeling of ecological population dynamics. Theoretical Ecology.

Novak, Wootton (2010). Using experimental indices to quantify the strength of species interactions. Oikos.

Novak (2010). Estimating interaction strengths in nature: experimental support for an observational approach. Ecology.

Doak, Estes, Halpern, Jacob, Lindberg, Lovvorn, Monson, Tinker, Williams, Wootton, Carroll, Emmerson, Micheli, Novak (2008). Understanding and predicting ecological dynamics: are major surprises inevitable. Ecology (Concepts & Synthesis).

Novak (2008). Trophic omnivory and the structure, strength, and nonlinear nature of species interactions across a productivity gradient. University of Chicago (PhD).

Novak, Wootton (2008). Estimating nonlinear interaction strengths: an observation-based method for species-rich food webs. Ecology (Report).

Novak (2004). Diurnal activity in a group of Gulf of Maine decapods. Crustaceana.

Novak (2000). Intraguild and extraguild predations: implications for the diel activity and distribution of four large decapod species. Cornell University (Honors).